Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.001044 1.191091e-03 0.001340 0.001502 0.001672 0.001845 0.002033
2025-04-27 0.000774 9.779516e-04 0.001193 0.001435 0.001696 0.001969 0.002273
2025-05-04 0.000639 8.890498e-04 0.001163 0.001479 0.001830 0.002202 0.002623
2025-05-11 0.000460 7.297728e-04 0.001039 0.001409 0.001829 0.002284 0.002806
2025-05-18 0.000307 5.788078e-04 0.000910 0.001320 0.001798 0.002325 0.002940
2025-05-25 0.000212 4.844493e-04 0.000837 0.001288 0.001825 0.002427 0.003136
2025-06-01 0.000126 3.828847e-04 0.000743 0.001223 0.001808 0.002474 0.003268
2025-06-08 0.000075 3.204729e-04 0.000692 0.001205 0.001843 0.002576 0.003459
2025-06-15 0.000054 3.009930e-04 0.000697 0.001255 0.001957 0.002770 0.003753
2025-06-22 0.000023 2.451514e-04 0.000644 0.001226 0.001971 0.002846 0.003910
2025-06-29 0.000009 2.136452e-04 0.000622 0.001235 0.002032 0.002973 0.004125
2025-07-06 0.000006 2.215596e-04 0.000661 0.001327 0.002195 0.003222 0.004480
2025-07-13 NaN 1.544137e-04 0.000584 0.001274 0.002198 0.003306 0.004677
2025-07-20 NaN 9.531125e-05 0.000504 0.001212 0.002188 0.003377 0.004861
2025-07-27 NaN 7.652655e-05 0.000497 0.001254 0.002312 0.003611 0.005239
2025-08-03 NaN 3.599991e-05 0.000422 0.001189 0.002294 0.003671 0.005412
2025-08-10 NaN 7.976608e-06 0.000343 0.001107 0.002248 0.003692 0.005537
2025-08-17 NaN 1.641304e-07 0.000300 0.001078 0.002270 0.003797 0.005760
2025-08-24 NaN NaN 0.000244 0.001018 0.002246 0.003842 0.005909
2025-08-31 NaN NaN 0.000215 0.001001 0.002281 0.003960 0.006146
2025-09-07 NaN NaN 0.000218 0.001047 0.002406 0.004192 0.006521
2025-09-14 NaN NaN 0.000187 0.001020 0.002423 0.004285 0.006725
2025-09-21 NaN NaN 0.000174 0.001029 0.002491 0.004443 0.007008